Yep sportz i knew that would happen, but i was getting a sore head from banging it against the wall , all i had was a small allup,roosters and w/tigers try @ $4.37, see, soon as i bombed out of the comp i get a winner up.

Will this Win?
St Kilda $1.27
West Coast $1.20
Geelong $1.20
S12 Crusaders $1.23
All up $2.23
I reckon

Yes Sportznut.
I just continue doing the same old same old.
But you know what tends to happen when you change.
That's right!.I knew I should have stuck it out one more week.
I think it's just one of those years.
At least I didn't jump in too early on Juddy!

You took the words right out of my mouth,Sportznut.
I was about to comment the same thing.
Sort of ,well if I'm wrong,no damage done.
But if you have your life on the line,well,you want to put in a bit of effort.
Maybe the stress causes the gut feeling not to work well.

Anyway,back to what I said early at the start.
I found only one game that I consider as being difficult and that is the Port/Bombers game.
And I'm sure the Bombers will be the underdogs,so I'm having a hundred on them at the straight out price.

By the way Sportznut,have you been playing the home underdog system this year.Has it been profitable?

Yes I have, and it has.

I must admit that I've had to have a rethink with the S12 and NRL, but it's going great guns on AFL and that's where I've been concentrating.

Here's how it's gone so far:

R1 Bris (+2.5) v St K WON
R1 Adel (+10.5) v WCst LOST
R2 Kang (+13.5) v Syd WON
R4 Hawt (+25.5) v Bris WON
R4 Rich (+11.5) v Frem WON
R5 WBul (+13.5) v Adel WON
R5 Bris (+5.5) v WCst LOST
R6 Ess (+7.5) v Bris LOST
R6 Rich (+15.5) v Port WON
R7 Hawt (+27.5) v WCst WON
R8 Ess (+11.5) v Frem WON

You know by now that I won't bet on Brisbane, so I've actually had 9 bets for 7 wins and 2 losses. Could have been 8 from 9 because Adelaide only missed out by 1/2 point and you know about that because you had them too. By the way, I also had small bets on each of those 9 teams to win outright and got 6 collects.

Maybe then there is merit in my idea of backing Essendon for this round.I took the $3.15
But then again,that's me.Others would not think of this game as being a close call.
Obviously teams seem to suffer some sort of overwhelming burden when they are expected to win.
One thing for sure,your homedog system don't take long to make a selection!

Hang on, Essendon aren't playing at home. Or is it the longshot factor you're going for. I personally wouldn't back them because their record at AAMI isn't good. That's not to say they can't win, but I won't be betting on them. Good luck if you do.

Mo, The blues are the value play this week. I read your comment in the other thread, but take these factors into account. Neitz, Miller and now Rivers are out. Those three respectively play ff, chf and chb.. Most of there spine out.

Also, Fevola was great last week and I really think they will match the demons in the middle.

And if you think emotion isnt one of the most critical components for big games look what the Dons did last week for Sheedy's jubilee match against a full strength Dockers team.

By the way Mo, not very confident at all with the Homedog system this week. Collingwood against West Coast??? They're going to need a big start! Perhaps I might halve my regular bet.

I'll also probably back Carlton with the start. Although not technically a selection for my system, Optus Oval this week is a DEFINITE home ground advantage.