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#21
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Know this Mugsy.
Once you pull out the plug,it all goes down the drain. Not sure what it means but I'm sure there is wisdom there to men of understanding. |
#22
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Quote:
D@$#HEAD |
#23
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Quote:
GEEZ does this bloke talk ******** or what |
#24
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COLLINGWOOD out to $2.25 with Multibet so I've had another go.
COLLINGWOOD: Bet $800 @ $2.25 MULTIBET. |
#25
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My model rates WEST COAST at $1.45 so at $2.02 with Pinnacle they appear to be "value" however I cannot back them as my number one rule eliminates them as a bet. I just never back interstate sides. I may miss winners like Melbourne who were rated $1.33 but I also save myself plenty by not backing losers.
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#26
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Well done Rock, you're pricing of Weagles seems much more appropriate compared to the $1.95 i picked up. I must say i didn't expect them to do it with this much ease though, ah well I'm not complaining!!
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#27
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But I wouldn't even really count West Coast as an 'interstate' side when playing at the Gabba. It's almost like a home ground for them. I priced them at $1.20 today and had them winning by 35 points. I thought they were INCREDIBLE value. They beat the Lions by about 70 points at the Gabba a couple of years ago and this might be more.
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#28
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Sportz,
Easy win to WCE today but overall figures since the AFL introduced interstate sides indicates that backing all interstate sides at level stakes is a LOSING proposition overall at the historical prices offered. Of course there are always individual exceptions. Personally, I thought the WCE looked comfortable winners today (too much pace over the whole paddock) but INTERSTATE is what is says. I stick to my own AFL model's prices strictly and I have other "filters" before putting my cash down. This week I would have backed Melbourne, West Coast and Carlton on my rated prices for two wins and one loss had I ignored my interstate rule but I am not interested in what happens on one particular weekend. My ledger at the end of September is all that matters. |
#29
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Yes, but that wasn't what I was suggesting. I totally agree with you that interstate teams have a poor record generally, but as I said, today was one of those individual exceptions. West Coast play brilliantly in Brisbane and to me, there is NO home ground advantage for Brisbane at all. In fact, it may as well be a home ground for the Eagles. Same with Sydney at the Gabba. It holds no real fears for them at all these days. |
#30
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Fair enough Sportz.
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