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  #51  
Old 8th December 2009, 05:50 AM
Tommy Gold Tommy Gold is offline
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Philadelphia Flyers @ Montreal Canadiens

We have to try to take advantage of mental issues. This is gonna be a match up which will meltdown the ice as we can't expect no less than a win for both teams. I will not use any trends or stats to sustain this play. Only recent issues and last games that these teams played.

Starting with Montreal, this team are labeling their playoffs as questionable. The team was late to start their engines, and when they start up, the engine just can't work for long time and shutdown suddenly.

However, they are a important team in NHL, traditionally contenders at least to the playoffs and have this year an interesting roster even with the poor production.

So, this team isn't achieving better results only because of them, as they can and should be more comfortable about their results. It's important to know that this team can improve and a good result can make the difference to turn things around. And that result could be the last one, where they won against Boston (5-1), a nice result at home before hosting Flyers.

Philadelphia is going through a tough moment. They fired their coach and gave to the new one the worst welcome possible, a 8-2 loss at home! A 1-6 run gave John Stevens the pink slip, but this team before that run was playing a great game, which for me, makes this decision a little bit wrong or at least too soon. This team had extreme particularities that makes it hard to the new coach to adjust this team to a new kind of game. And that was easily seen when they lost at home against the Capitals (2-8).

They'll struggle only one game? Probably not, they'll need more time to understand the new vision of the game that they have to approach. And that will make this team lose time for the playoffs race, but that's not my decision. Despite this, another piece of bad news was disclosed to the public. Pronger, their best transfer for this year, and probably their best player so far this season, is having problems with Mike Richards, the supporters' hero and team's goalscorer. This can damage a lot this team, even when Richards came to public declaring that it was false news.

So, we have lots of problems on this team for now. Despite how much I enjoy the Flyers game, this play is hard to skip. Montreal can take all the advantage here.


Pick: Montreal Canadiens ML +100 (2.00) Bookmaker, Goalwin
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  #52  
Old 9th December 2009, 07:34 AM
Tommy Gold Tommy Gold is offline
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NHL 2009.12.08, only 2 picks:

Montreal Canadiens @ Ottawa Senators: Under 5.5 -125 (1.80) Bookmaker, Goalwin

Dallas Stars @ Anaheim Ducks: Anaheim Ducks 3Way (1X2) +135 (2.35) Bookmaker




NHL 2009.12.07 results:

Atlanta Thrashers @ Toronto Maple Leafs: Atlanta Thrashers 3Way (1X2) +130 (2.30) Bookmaker (5-2: LOSS)
Philadelphia Flyers @ Montreal Canadiens: Montreal Canadiens ML +100 (2.00) Bookmaker (3-1: WIN)

NHL 2009.12.07 finished with a 1-1 and ZERO units won/2 units risked.
NHL 2009-2010 season record: 65-89-1 (-4.68 units lost/154 units risked)


L10 Days NHL 2009-2010 Tracker: 21-18-1 and +8.96 units won/37 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.07 finished with a 1-1 and ZERO units won/2 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.06 finished with a 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.05 finished with a 4-2 and +5.97 units won/6 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.04 finished with a 1-2 and -0.65 units lost/3 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.03 finished with a 1-4 and -2.9 units lost/3 units risked.

NHL 2009.12.02 finished with a 1-2 and -0.35 units lost/3 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.01 finished with a 3-1 and +2.46 units won/4 units risked.
NHL 2009.11.30 finished with a 4-3 and +1.08 units won/7 units risked.
NHL 2009.11.29 finished with a 1-1 and -0.13 units lost/2 units risked.
NHL 2009.11.28 finished with a 5-1-1 and +4.48 units won/6 units risked.
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  #53  
Old 10th December 2009, 08:59 AM
Tommy Gold Tommy Gold is offline
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NHL 2009.12.08 results:

Montreal Canadiens @ Ottawa Senators: Under 5.5 -125 (1.80) Bookmaker (1-4: WIN)
Dallas Stars @ Anaheim Ducks: Anaheim Ducks 3Way (1X2) +135 (2.35) Bookmaker (3-4 OT: LOSS)

NHL 2009.12.08 finished with a 1-1 and -0.2 units lost/2 units risked.
NHL 2009-2010 season record: 66-90-1 (-4.88 units lost/156 units risked)

L10 Days NHL 2009-2010 Tracker: 17-18 and +4.28 units won/35 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.08 finished with a 1-1 and -0.2 units lost/2 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.07 finished with a 1-1 and ZERO units won/2 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.06 finished with a 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.05 finished with a 4-2 and +5.97 units won/6 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.04 finished with a 1-2 and -0.65 units lost/3 units risked.

NHL 2009.12.03 finished with a 1-4 and -2.9 units lost/3 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.02 finished with a 1-2 and -0.35 units lost/3 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.01 finished with a 3-1 and +2.46 units won/4 units risked.
NHL 2009.11.30 finished with a 4-3 and +1.08 units won/7 units risked.
NHL 2009.11.29 finished with a 1-1 and -0.13 units lost/2 units risked.


No picks for today, 2009.12.09. I've caught a cold...
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  #54  
Old 11th December 2009, 10:50 AM
Tommy Gold Tommy Gold is offline
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NHL 2009.12.10, 2 picks:


Ottawa Senators @ Philadelphia Flyers

Both teams have the some number of victories. A positive record so far for these teams, however, most of the wins were at home for both. Even with a little advantage because of home spot, this teams are passing bad moments on this season right now.

Ottawa are 1-5 in L6. Their worst losing streak. Perhaps an eventual consequence due to an old roster? The truth is that this team have lost their last home at home against a rival. They suffered one stupid goal that set their lost, and it was a result of a poor confidence, and that mistake will only make them dig more. At road they are a poor team, allowing almost the double than they can score.

Philadelphia were passing through a really bad moment, and as a result, the coach was fired. The new coach have a different kind of game, and the team struggled a lot in the first two game, to understand what the new coach wanted. However, in their last game (at home), the team finally managed the game as the coach planned. The players are trying to pass the bad phase giving all they can, and trying to prove that the news about problems between players were false.

I can't expect no less than a win to Flyers today, They have to show that they can keep the pace they showed last game. First to make the fun return to the arena, and second to prove to the new coach that he can count on them. Hosting a team with a poor road record and passing their worst moment of the season, can be the perfect them to make the joy return to Philadelphia. Despite the bad recent results, Ottawa is a team with a positive record, and with more points than Flyers.


Pick: Philadelphia Flyers 3Way (1X2) -105 (1.95) Bookmaker, Goalwin



Toronto Maple Leafs @ Boston Bruins

This will be a game between the two most improving teams this month. Toronto finally started to have regularly wins, and Bruins finally achieve more than one win in a row.

Toronto had a 3-17 record since the start of the season, but since that record they are 7-3. They really turned things up, and that's something I expected, as this team is one of the most solid teams beyond the players. However, I consider also that Gustavsson were the key to turn things, as this rookie were the starter in the nets in the 3 first wins during that rough start of the season. Since that, we were the goaltender as well when the team turned things up. It's true that since his injure, the team still winning games, however they aren't so solid, and their wins are not as easy and unquestionable as before. On the road, they are 4-1 in L5, amazing results, but most of the teams they faced were soft on defense. They are not good on defense, but they are make up their efforts on offense, usually scoring more than the opponents.

Boston his finally the team that we all expected! The best team on regular season in last year are finally showing their game, allowing few goals per game, and taking all the opportunities they got to score. The return of Savard has ended a losing streak for the team, who had struggled a lot in the beginning of the season. The injuries of some key players made Bruins a weird team, as they are a good defense in that spawn, but their offense didn't produce anything, having few games without any goal scored. But that problems are now treaty, and the team is showing a great game and trying to cover the lost time they had lost to playoffs.

Few days ago, Boston hosted Toronto. Easy win by 7-2. It was an opportunity to Boston study the weak points of Toronto. Since that game, Boston didn't play any game, but Toronto hosted Trashers and Islanders yesterday. So, it will be a B2B game for Toronto, and will return to Boston where they had a ******** day 5 days ago. It's hard to see other outcome than the some kind of result. Boston defending well, and taking advantage on Toronto weak defense.


Pick: Boston Bruins PL -1.5 +180 (2.80) The Greek
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  #55  
Old 12th December 2009, 10:56 AM
Tommy Gold Tommy Gold is offline
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NHL 2009.12.11, 3 picks:

Florida Panthers @ New Jersey Devils: New Jersey Devils PL -1.5 +155 (2.55) Bookmaker

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Colorado Avalanche: Under 5.5 -130 (1.77) Bookmaker

Dallas Stars @ San Jose Sharks: San Jose Sharks PL -1.5 +165 (2.65) The Greek


This will be a game where the public will push the odds down for our side. So, I advise you all to bet as soon as you can if you wish to bet on this one.

Dallas are in the run for playoffs, but they can't aspire to much more. This team have some talents that once in a while make the difference, but the fact that they only make the difference once in a while show that this team is not reliable. They play their games hoping that someone got some inspiration to make that difference. Their defense is soft particularly on the road. Their game is based in scoring more than the opponents, and sometimes their opponents have a strong offensive line to smash this kind of game.

San Jose are one of the favourites to Stanley Cup. However, they are having a bad run right now, with 3 straight losses at home and 2 of them in OT. Strange run for this team, that is now 8-2 at home. In L5 at home, this team is in 1-4, and this is a warning sign. If they want to be contenders to Stanley Cup, they can't have these kind of streak at home. They have a great roster, there is no key players with injuries, and the ability to turn things as soon as possible.

Despite the bad moment, I belive that Sharks will take advantage on this game as soon as possible. They will keep a high pace on the game to control better the game and hoping that a big win could give them more confidence. The fact that Stars are a non reliable team that struggles against offensive power teams make this a good spot for us.
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  #56  
Old 12th December 2009, 11:07 AM
Tommy Gold Tommy Gold is offline
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NHL 2009.12.10 results:

Ottawa Senators @ Philadelphia Flyers: Philadelphia Flyers 3Way (1X2) -105 (1.95) Bookmaker (0-2: LOSS)
Toronto Maple Leafs @ Boston Bruins: Boston Bruins PL -1.5 +180 (2.80) The Greek (5-2: WIN)

NHL 2009.12.10 finished with a 1-1 and +0.8 units won/2 units risked.
NHL 2009-2010 season record: 67-91-1 (-4.08 units lost/158 units risked)

L10 Days NHL 2009-2010 Tracker: 17-18 and +5.21 units won/35 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.10 finished with a 1-1 and +0.8 units won/2 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.08 finished with a 1-1 and -0.2 units lost/2 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.07 finished with a 1-1 and ZERO units won/2 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.06 finished with a 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.05 finished with a 4-2 and +5.97 units won/6 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.04 finished with a 1-2 and -0.65 units lost/3 units risked.

NHL 2009.12.03 finished with a 1-4 and -2.9 units lost/3 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.02 finished with a 1-2 and -0.35 units lost/3 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.01 finished with a 3-1 and +2.46 units won/4 units risked.
NHL 2009.11.30 finished with a 4-3 and +1.08 units won/7 units risked.
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  #57  
Old 13th December 2009, 04:46 AM
Tommy Gold Tommy Gold is offline
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NHL 2009.12.12, final 4 picks:

Carolina Hurricanes @ Ottawa Senators: Carolina Hurricanes ML +180 (2.80) Bookmaker

Boston Bruins @ New York Islanders: Boston Bruins 3Way (1X2) +125 (2.25) Bookmaker

Philadelphia Flyers @ New Jersey Devils: New Jersey Devils PL -1.5 +245 (3.45) Bookmaker

Dallas Stars @ Los Angeles Kings: Los Angeles Kings 3Way (1X2) +110 (2.10) Bookmaker, Goalwin



NHL 2009.12.11 results:

Florida Panthers @ New Jersey Devils: New Jersey Devils PL -1.5 +155 (2.55) Bookmaker (2-4: LOSS)
Tampa Bay Lightning @ Colorado Avalanche: Under 5.5 -130 (1.77) Bookmaker (2-1 SO: WIN)
Dallas Stars @ San Jose Sharks: San Jose Sharks PL -1.5 +165 (2.65) The Greek (2-3: SO LOSS)

NHL 2009.12.11 finished with a 1-2 and -1.23 units lost/3 units risked.
NHL 2009-2010 season record: 68-93-1 (-5.31 units lost/161 units risked)

L10 Days NHL 2009-2010 Tracker: 11-16 and +0.44 units won/27 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.11 finished with a 1-2 and -1.23 units lost/3 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.10 finished with a 1-1 and +0.8 units won/2 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.08 finished with a 1-1 and -0.2 units lost/2 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.07 finished with a 1-1 and ZERO units won/2 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.06 finished with a 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 units risked.

NHL 2009.12.05 finished with a 4-2 and +5.97 units won/6 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.04 finished with a 1-2 and -0.65 units lost/3 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.03 finished with a 1-4 and -2.9 units lost/3 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.02 finished with a 1-2 and -0.35 units lost/3 units risked.
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  #58  
Old 14th December 2009, 04:48 AM
Tommy Gold Tommy Gold is offline
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NHL 2009.12.13, only 1 pick:

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Chicago Blackhawks: Over 5.5 +120 (2.20) The Greek



NHL 2009.12.12 results:

Carolina Hurricanes @ Ottawa Senators: Carolina Hurricanes ML +180 (2.80) Bookmaker (4-2: LOSS)
Boston Bruins @ New York Islanders: Boston Bruins 3Way (1X2) +125 (2.25) Bookmaker (3-2 OT: LOSS)
Philadelphia Flyers @ New Jersey Devils: New Jersey Devils PL -1.5 +245 (3.45) Bookmaker (4-1: WIN)
Dallas Stars @ Los Angeles Kings: Los Angeles Kings 3Way (1X2) +110 (2.10) Bookmaker (3-2 SO: LOSS)

NHL 2009.12.12 finished with a 1-3 and -0.55 units lost/4 units risked.
NHL 2009-2010 season record: 69-96-1 (-5.86 units lost/165 units risked)

L10 Days NHL 2009-2010 Tracker: 11-17 and +0.24 units won/28 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.12 finished with a 1-3 and -0.55 units lost/4 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.11 finished with a 1-2 and -1.23 units lost/3 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.10 finished with a 1-1 and +0.8 units won/2 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.08 finished with a 1-1 and -0.2 units lost/2 units risked.

NHL 2009.12.07 finished with a 1-1 and ZERO units won/2 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.06 finished with a 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.05 finished with a 4-2 and +5.97 units won/6 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.04 finished with a 1-2 and -0.65 units lost/3 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.03 finished with a 1-4 and -2.9 units lost/3 units risked.
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  #59  
Old 15th December 2009, 08:24 AM
Tommy Gold Tommy Gold is offline
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NHL 2009.12.14, final 4 picks:

Florida Panthers @ New York Islanders: New York Islanders 3Way (1X2) +110 (2.10) Bookmaker, +115 (2.15) Bookmaker

Atlanta Thrashers @ New York Rangers: Atlanta Thrashers ML +120 (2.20) Bookmaker

Ottawa Senators @ Toronto Maple Leafs: Under 6 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

Buffalo Sabres @ Montreal Canadiens: Montreal Canadiens ML +110 (2.10) Bookmaker


NHL 2009.12.13 results:

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Chicago Blackhawks: Over 5.5 +120 (2.20) The Greek (4-0: LOSS)

NHL 2009.12.13 finished with a 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 unit risked.
NHL 2009-2010 season record: 69-97-1 (-6.86 units lost/166 units risked)


L10 Days NHL 2009-2010 Tracker: 10-14 and +2.14 units won/24 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.13 finished with a 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 unit risked.
NHL 2009.12.12 finished with a 1-3 and -0.55 units lost/4 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.11 finished with a 1-2 and -1.23 units lost/3 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.10 finished with a 1-1 and +0.8 units won/2 units risked.

NHL 2009.12.08 finished with a 1-1 and -0.2 units lost/2 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.07 finished with a 1-1 and ZERO units won/2 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.06 finished with a 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.05 finished with a 4-2 and +5.97 units won/6 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.04 finished with a 1-2 and -0.65 units lost/3 units risked.
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  #60  
Old 15th December 2009, 09:33 AM
Tommy Gold Tommy Gold is offline
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Florida Panthers @ New York Islanders

For this match up, both teams have several injuries. However, none is a key player, so we can expect for this game the best that rosters got to offer.

Florida is one team that got their momentum 2 weeks ago. This team is one of the poorest on NHL, concerning to talent. They can play hard, with all they got, as they did in several games in November. However, that wasnīt the reality of the team, and it will be hard for them to get a spot on playoffs despite the 12-14 record they got right now.

Islanders were the worst team last season, and that give them the right to pick the firs player on the draft. So, this year, we have the young players from last season and the first draft pick, Tavares. Despite they struggled in the start of the season, this team have lotīs of talent, and when the wins finally appear, this team achieved regular wins.

This match up will be decided in details, and those details will be the home advantage and the young players talent. If Islanders finally learn to deal with the lack of experience, Panthers can overwhelm themselves to deal with lack of talent. So both teams will fight for this game, but I believe on the kids, as they have already show that they can be mature.


Pick: New York Islanders 3Way (1X2) +110 (2.10) Bookmaker, +115 (2.15) Goalwin



Atlanta Thrashers @ New York Rangers

I wonder if we should count with home advantage for this game. Atlanta has better record on the road than Rangers at home. With 9-5 on road, Atlanta is a road team that have no fear to face the games even against the public. 7-8 is a negative record, and Rangers are showing some problems and are with 3 losses in a row at home.

Atlanta is a solid team. They just play manage the game on their own, being solid on defense and offense. Even when the games are very balanced, Kovalchuk appears and solve the problem. A solid and cohesive team, allowing only 2.80 goals on the road and scoring 3.00 goals on the road as well, is a positive way to face the games.

Rangers are passing a letdown spot. Their game is just poor, that canīt play as a team, and desperate for Gaborik inspiration. However he can't solve anything alone. One of those signs is that the team is scoring only 1.60 goals per game in last five.

Rangers have to wait for a team that struggles on offense to turn things. However they will face one solid team with Kovalchuk, one of the best players of NHL. We can score one goal at any moment, and itīs hard to imagine Trashers leave New York without goals scored. Having problems in their defense as well as their offensive, opens a window to Atlanta win this game. With these high odds, we have the value that we need.


Pick: Atlanta Thrashers ML +120 (2.20) Bookmaker
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