NHL 2010.01.07, final pick:

Ottawa Senators @ Washington Capitals: Washington Capitals PL -1.5 +155 (2.55) Bookmaker

*One unit each always.

Ottawa Senators @ Washington Capitals

This is a matchup in the Eastern Conference, with both teams with valid arguments to attend the playoffs. However, and despite the good records, there is a little trend where one of this team is with a negative record. Yes, Senators are not as good as they are at home.

Senators are making a good season so far, but I think that after losing Spezza and Alfredsson they will pass a letdown spot. This isn't already easy to seen because they were playing 5 games at home in a row. They got 2 of their best offensive players out, and their offense will struggle soon. Despite they scored 7 goals at home against Flyers, they lost the last game at home against Bruins, scoring only one goal.

On the road, they score 2.24 goals per game, and this is an average that should get lower in the next games. Their defense is their weak point on road, with 3.53 goals allowed per game.

Capitals have named Ovechkin their captain. After a streak with 3 losses, this nomination had a great impact, making the team return to wins. This is one of the strongest contenders to Stanley cup, and when they start their engines, no one can stop them. After suffering many losses by injuries, something that is happening often this season, the team got almost all players ok to this game. When they got all their key players ok, they usually gives a great show, and input big losses to opponents. This is seem particularly at home, where Capitals score 3.79 goals per game, only allowing 2.74 goals per game.

So, today we can expect Capitals in full force and Senators trying to compensate some important injuries. Against power offensive teams, particularly on road, Senators can't hold the game, allowing many goals. And when Capitals get enthusiastic, they usually score a lot.

Pick: Washington Capitals PL -1.5 +155 (2.55) Bookmaker

NHL 2010.01.08, final 2 picks:


Colorado Avalanche @ Carolina Hurricanes

If this game were 1 month ago, these odds were impossible to find were Colorado. Colorado started the season with a great streak, slowing down lately, and Carolina were achieving defeat after defeat, but showed some improves after Staal return. But today, this game smell like a game from that date, but the odds didn't follow that.

Colorado started well the season, but them suffered a letdown. Since that letdown, they are showing great improvement in their last games, being again a good road team, as their record shows. Carolina after improving with Staal return, are now dealing with his personal issue that puts him out of game.

He already missed last game, that Carolina lost 4-2, and will miss today again. We can't forget that he is the key player that made Carolina improve, and without him, Carolina struggles. Colorado got better road stats than Carolina home stats, and due to the fact that Carolina are showing a great improvement lately and Carolina are in the same spot they were when they struggled hard, there is a big value on odds.

Pick: Colorado Avalanche 3Way (1X2) +125 (2.25) Bookmaker, Goalwin



Tampa Bay Lightning @ New Jersey Devils

One month ago I've done the same pick I will do today, but today the spot is much better than last month. Last month Tampa were playing better and Devils were passing a moment where they had no interest in cover the PL. Even so, Devils won 3-2.

Tampa is a home based team. They are 2-1 in last 3 road games, a better result than expected, and against permissive teams. This team have great offensive players that can make the different, but they usually struggle on the road because those players can't produce on the road the same they produce at home.

Scoring 2.32 goals per game on the road, is a low number and despite a much bigger number, their defense is even worse, allowing 3.45 goals per game.

Devils are leading the Eastern Conference and making a strong games. If they were "just" winning in the first games, they are now showing that they can play pretty well, and are winning easily. Despite two losses in last 11 games, on road against direct opponents to Stanley Cup, this team won 9 games and only twice they missed the PL. At home, they only allowed 2.09 goals per game.

At this point, Devils are to strong to let Tampa think that they can be a easy hosts. Tampa can't make surprises on road, and they can't even discuss a game against teams that are cohesive and playing well, approaching each game on the right view. Devils are also now winning most games comfortable, something that should be easy, as Tampa is a soft defense and if they get disoriented, it will be easy to Devils score.

Bet: New Jersey PL -1.5 +150 (2.50) Bookmaker


*One unit each always.



NHL 2010.01.07 results:

Ottawa Senators @ Washington Capitals: Washington Capitals PL -1.5 +155 (2.55) Bookmaker (5-2: WIN)

NHL 2010.01.07 finished 1-0 and +1.55 units won/1 units risked
NHL 2009-2010 season record: 101-120-3 (+9.89 units won/221 units risked)

NHL 2009-2010 L10 Days Tracker: 10-8-1 and +5.32 units won/18 units risked.
NHL 2010.01.07 finished 1-0 and +1.55 units won/1 units risked
NHL 2010.01.06 finished 3-0 and +4.5 units won/3 units risked
NHL 2010.01.05 finished 2-2 and +0.5 units won/4 units risked.
NHL 2010.01.04 finished 0-0-1 and ZERO units won/1 unit risked.
NHL 2010.01.03 finished 1-1 and -0.05 units lost/2 units risked.
NHL 2010.01.02 finished 0-2 and -2 units lost/2 units risked.

NHL 2009.12.30 finished 3-1 and +2.75 units won/4 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.29 finished 0-2 and -2 units lost/2 units risked.

Last 127 picks: 69-58-2, +28.49 units won!

NHL 2010.01.09, final 7 picks:

New York Rangers @ Boston Bruins: Under 5 -105 (1.95) Bookmaker

New Jersey Devils @ Montreal Canadiens: New Jersey Devils 3Way (1X2) +120 (2.20) Bookmaker, +125 (2.25) Goalwin

Pittsburgh Penguins @ Toronto Maple Leafs: Under 6 +120 (2.20) Bookmaker

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Philadelphia Flyers: Philadelphia Flyers PL -1.5 +150 (2.50) The Greek

Washington Capitals @ Atlanta Thrashers: Washington Capitals PL +190 (2.90) Bookmaker

Chicago Blackhawks @ Minnesota Wild: Under 5.5 -135 (1.74) Bookmaker

Detroit Red Wings @ San Jose Sharks: San Jose Sharks PL +180 (2.80) Bookmaker

*One unit each always.



The Tampa Bay Lightning @ New Jersey Devils was suspended/postponed.

NHL 2010.01.08 results:

Colorado Avalanche @ Carolina Hurricanes: Colorado Avalanche 3Way (1X2) +125 (2.25) Bookmaker (2-1: LOSS)
Tampa Bay Lightning @ New Jersey Devils: New Jersey PL -1.5 +150 (2.50) Bookmaker (0-3: PUSH/VOID)

NHL 2010.01.08 finished 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 units risked
NHL 2009-2010 season record: 101-121-3 (+8.89 units won/222 units risked)

NHL 2009-2010 L10 Days Tracker: 10-7-1 and +6.32 units won/17 units risked.
NHL 2010.01.08 finished 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 units risked
NHL 2010.01.07 finished 1-0 and +1.55 units won/1 units risked
NHL 2010.01.06 finished 3-0 and +4.5 units won/3 units risked
NHL 2010.01.05 finished 2-2 and +0.5 units won/4 units risked.

NHL 2010.01.04 finished 0-0-1 and ZERO units won/1 unit risked.
NHL 2010.01.03 finished 1-1 and -0.05 units lost/2 units risked.
NHL 2010.01.02 finished 0-2 and -2 units lost/2 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.30 finished 3-1 and +2.75 units won/4 units risked.

Last 128 picks: 69-59-2, +27.49 units won!

NHL 2010.01.09 results:

New York Rangers @ Boston Bruins: Under 5 -105 (1.95) Bookmaker (1-3: WIN)
New Jersey Devils @ Montreal Canadiens: New Jersey Devils 3Way (1X2) +120 (2.20) Bookmaker (1-2 OT: LOSS)
Pittsburgh Penguins @ Toronto Maple Leafs: Under 6 +120 (2.20) Bookmaker (1-4: WIN)
Tampa Bay Lightning @ Philadelphia Flyers: Philadelphia Flyers PL -1.5 +150 (2.50) The Greek (4-1: WIN)

Washington Capitals @ Atlanta Thrashers: Washington Capitals PL +190 (2.90) Bookmaker (1-8: WIN)
Chicago Blackhawks @ Minnesota Wild: Under 5.5 -135 (1.74) Bookmaker (6-5 SO: LOSS)
Detroit Red Wings @ San Jose Sharks: San Jose Sharks PL +180 (2.80) Bookmaker (1-4: LOSS)

NHL 2010.01.09 finished 4-3 and +2.55 units won/7 units risked
NHL 2009-2010 season record: 105-124-3 (+11.44 units won/229 units risked)

NHL 2009-2010 L10 Days Tracker: 11-9-1 and +6.12 units won/20 units risked.
NHL 2010.01.09 finished 4-3 and +2.55 units won/7 units risked
NHL 2010.01.08 finished 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 units risked
NHL 2010.01.07 finished 1-0 and +1.55 units won/1 units risked
NHL 2010.01.06 finished 3-0 and +4.5 units won/3 units risked
NHL 2010.01.05 finished 2-2 and +0.5 units won/4 units risked.

NHL 2010.01.04 finished 0-0-1 and ZERO units won/1 unit risked.
NHL 2010.01.03 finished 1-1 and -0.05 units lost/2 units risked.
NHL 2010.01.02 finished 0-2 and -2 units lost/2 units risked.

Last 135 picks: 74-53-2, +30.04 units won!

Now I'm practically with a 5% ROI.

NHL 2010.01.11 final 2 picks:


San Jose Sharks @ Los Angeles Kings

This is a game between two division rivals, that had a matchup 3 games ago, in January 4. Today, they will face each other again, but this time in Los Angeles.

Sharks are a strong contenders to Stanley cups and that's unquestionable. However, despite the good runs are bigger than the bad ones, they still have to improve in order to manage better a losing game. The 5 straight losses they had in the beginning of December shows it. Since that bad run, they made a a 8-0 run, only stopped in January 4, at home, against Kings. Their last game was also a loss at home, against Detroit, and even they were strong at that game, they weren't able to get a win against the sneaky and experienced Red Wings. Sharks are not a team with fear to play on road, as their record on road is similar to home games. This team is strong enough, and wants to have a better competitive game, that makes this team play the same goad on road and at home.

Kings are making a great season, surprising everyone. But since the hot streak they had, they are now showing some decrease in their performs, with a 4-7 record in last 11. The most of that wins were against teams that have been surprised, as they were expecting a easy team, and Kings fought for the game. Their last two games were 2 defeats at home, against Red Wings and Blues, teams that can faces road games without fear.

Today we will have a revenge spot. Sharks are not happy at all with Kings, that made them stop their winning streak at home, and by big numbers. Today, Sharks will not be surprised, will take control of the game, and manage a easy win, as they are better on road than Kings at home. They can be better on offense and better on defense, despite being the visitors.


Pick: San Jose Sharks PL -1.5 +220 (3.20) The Greek


Nashville Predators @ Vancouver Canucks

Just before Christmas, Predators went to Vancouver. In that day, Canucks won 4-1, and we can expect something similar today. Despite a good season so far in Canadian soil by Predators, they usually struggles on Vancouver.

Predators had a bad start and seems that they are returning to that time. Their last games have been losses or unconvincing, and despite the stats shows that they are not suffering many goals is due to the fact that they have faced many "soft" and that didn't make any pressure. When they faces strong offensive teams, their defense seems like small kids, with their legs shaking. They got an average of 3 goals allowed per game on road, and it's a nice stat if you look to boxscores and see that Predators usually allow the double of the shots they take on road.

Canucks are in a different direction, as they are improving and stronger day by day. At this point, we can say that in last 9 games, Canucks only lost 2 games on OT, winning 6 covering the PL and 1 on OT. Great results that should give us confidence to bet on them minus -1.5 goals. But the last game, they lost, at home, on OT, and will certainly looking for revenge today, as they will face another Canadian team. With a 3.48 goals per game, they can add a 1.96 goals allowed per game, something that make them strong on offense as well than defense.

So, today we can expect a hard Canucks team, trying to show that they are really hot right now. The last time Predators went to Vancouver, Vancouver were coming from a home loss as well, and get revenge against Predators. That game was soft to Predators, despite the 4-1 loss, because Canucks controlled the game from the first to last minute, with no many facilities. Today, we can expect a Canucks team that knows what will face, and taking their opportunities.


Pick: Vancouver Canucks PL -1.5 +170 (2.70) The Greek

Weekly progress during the current NHL regular season:

2009.10.18 NHL 2009-2010 season results: 9-12 (+0.62 units won/21 units risked) Won

2009.10.25 NHL 2009-2010 season record: 16-27 (-5.17u lost/43u risked) Lost

2009.11.01 NHL 2009-2010 season record: 23-37 (-3.55u lost/60u risked) Won

2009.11.08 NHL 2009-2010 season record: 25-44 (-9.85u lost/69u risked) Lost

2009.11.15 NHL 2009-2010 season record: 28-51 (-12.2u lost/79u risked) Lost

2009.11.22 NHL 2009-2010 season record: 32-62 (-18.6u lost/94u risked) Lost

2009.11.29 NHL 2009-2010 season record: 50-73-1 (-9.29u lost/123u risked) Won

2009.12.06 NHL 2009-2010 season record: 64-88-1 (-4.68u lost/152u risked) Won

2009.12.13 NHL 2009-2010 season record: 69-97-1 (-6.86u lost/166u risked) Lost

2009.12.20 NHL 2009-2010 season record: 78-106-1 (-4.23u lost/184u risked) Won

2009.12.27 NHL 2009-2010 season record: 90-110-2 (+5.84u won/200u risked) Won

2010.01.03 NHL 2009-2010 season record: 95-118-2 (+3.34u won/213u risked) Lost

2010.01.09 NHL 2009-2010 season record: 105-124-3 (+11.44u won/229u risked) Won

NHL 2010.01.11 results:

San Jose Sharks @ Los Angeles Kings: San Jose Sharks PL -1.5 +220 (3.20) The Greek (1-2: LOSS)
Nashville Predators @ Vancouver Canucks: Vancouver Canucks PL -1.5 +170 (2.70) The Greek (2-3: LOSS)

NHL 2010.01.11 finished 0-2 and -2 units lost/2 units risked.
NHL 2009-2010 season record: 105-126-3 (+9.44 units won/231 units risked)

NHL 2009-2010 L10 Days Tracker: 11-11-1 and +4.12 units won/22 units risked.
NHL 2010.01.11 finished 0-2 and -2 units lost/2 units risked.
NHL 2010.01.09 finished 4-3 and +2.55 units won/7 units risked
NHL 2010.01.08 finished 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 units risked
NHL 2010.01.07 finished 1-0 and +1.55 units won/1 units risked
NHL 2010.01.06 finished 3-0 and +4.5 units won/3 units risked

NHL 2010.01.05 finished 2-2 and +0.5 units won/4 units risked.
NHL 2010.01.04 finished 0-0-1 and ZERO units won/1 unit risked.
NHL 2010.01.03 finished 1-1 and -0.05 units lost/2 units risked.
NHL 2010.01.02 finished 0-2 and -2 units lost/2 units risked.

Last 137 picks: 74-55-2, +28.04 units won!

NHL 2010.01.12 first 2 picks:

Dallas Stars @ Philadelphia Flyers

After a hard rehab, we finally got Flyers back to their best performances! And so, we have teams going in different directions, and we can take advantage if we take the ride that Flyers are giving, as they are really hot right now.

Dallas as not been reliable, but they are reliable in something: they only achieved a win in road games since middle November. And since they lost Ribeiro, they are struggling much more, playing with more difficulties and with less confidence. That's easily seen if, as they are allowing 3.40 goals per game and scoring 1.40 in last 5 games.

Flyers are in a different situation. After a good start, they struggled a lot and fired their coach. With new coach, we could see some improve, but the result were difficult to appear. But now, are 7-2, with 3 wins in last 3 game, including a 6-3 victory in Pittsburgh. They are showing again their strongest point, their offense. In their offense, any player is a potential scorer, and all of them scores, not leaving that job exclusive to centers and r/l wings. Their defense, under the lead of Pronger, are showing a great improve as well, allowing few goals. In their last 5 games, this team is coring 4.40 goals per game, allowing 3.20, due to the 7-4 loss in Ottawa.

We just have to take this play. Flyers are too strong and confident right now, and facing a bad road team, that is struggling a lot lately, perhaps due to a important injure, is the right spot to another blowout win.

Pick: Philadelphia Flyers PL -1.5 +180 (2.80) Bookmaker


Ottawa Senators @ Atlanta Thrashers: Atlanta Thrashers 3Way (1X2) +105 (2.05) Bookmaker

NHL 2010.01.12 results:

Dallas Stars @ Philadelphia Flyers: Philadelphia Flyers PL -1.5 +180 (2.80) Bookmaker (6-3: WIN)
Ottawa Senators @ Atlanta Thrashers: Atlanta Thrashers 3Way (1X2) +105 (2.05) Bookmaker (6-1: WIN)

NHL 2010.01.12 finished 2-0 and +2.85 units won/2 units risked.
NHL 2009-2010 season record: 107-126-3 (+12.29 units won/233 units risked)

NHL 2009-2010 L10 Days Tracker: 13-9-1 and +8.97 units won/22 units risked.
NHL 2010.01.12 finished 2-0 and +2.85 units won/2 units risked.
NHL 2010.01.11 finished 0-2 and -2 units lost/2 units risked.
NHL 2010.01.09 finished 4-3 and +2.55 units won/7 units risked
NHL 2010.01.08 finished 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 units risked
NHL 2010.01.07 finished 1-0 and +1.55 units won/1 units risked

NHL 2010.01.06 finished 3-0 and +4.5 units won/3 units risked
NHL 2010.01.05 finished 2-2 and +0.5 units won/4 units risked.
NHL 2010.01.04 finished 0-0-1 and ZERO units won/1 unit risked.
NHL 2010.01.03 finished 1-1 and -0.05 units lost/2 units risked.

Last 139 picks: 76-55-2, +30.89 units won!

The season ROI is now +5,274678%.