Following on from sports thread how about we post bets what we think are certainties. Post the event, winner and odds. If people decide to back them so be it .

I'll Post the first one i think is a cert .

Nth Melbourne vs Port Adeliade

Nth Melbourne to win @ $1.65

Nth has won 5 from the last 7 meetings and port hasn't beaten nth away from football park in the last 5 years. Port has only won 1 from 7 away from home this year.

Melbourne Vs St Kilda

Melbourne to win @ $3.00

This is a tough won on recent form but on stats Melbourne should win. The last 4 meetings between these 2 teams at the MCG Melbourne has won all 4 by an average margin of 48points.

The Kangaroos were actually the ones I was thinking of. They have won 10 of the 12 matches between the two teams. Port have won 2 of the past 3, but they were both at Football Park. If Port lose, they're just about out of the running for the 8 so they'll be damn determined, but the Roos are looking for a top 4 spot too.

The only problem with the Kangaroos is they're not a team I feel really comfortable backing as favourites. They tend to be an under-rated team that wins a lot as underdogs. Not sure they're a great team to bet on as favs.

BULLDOGS vs Rabbitohs

The Rabbitohs have won 1 out of the last 14 games between these two - they beat them 6 years ago 16-14 but before that was 12 years ago in 1993. The Bulldogs have also racked up 128 pts in their last 3 encounters at Aussie Stadium.
Despite the shock draw last time, the bulldogs look to be the much better side, and with mason back in the side they should win.

Why should they win?
They are coming back from Perth
St kilda are flying and with the possibility of Riewoldt ,Hammill etc back from injury this week,I dont think you could put enough on St kilda.
The only drawback is that it is at the G,which is not as kind to St Kilda as the dome is
Good luck anyway.

Don't like the look of the Kangaroos at the moment.

Yep nth look very flat.

I had a VERY minimal bet on them, because as I said earlier in the thread, I just can't go with the fact of them being favourites for this game. The Kangaroos are a team that seem to do best when they are the underdogs, and I personally don't really rate them in the same class as Port.