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#1
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I always take into consideration the clear top weight in a race. Then I sometimes lay, sometimes back, or just ignore. IMO the filters above are too restrictive. I consider all local meetings. Performance at the track rather than track & distance. And first-up record, if resuming. Got a few winners Saturday including Redkirk Warrior, Morendi Hang, Sidetrip, Battle Hero, Spurcraft, Tisani Tomso, Choice Bro & Iconoclast |
#2
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sounds reasonable starraft & it looks like it's working for you |
#3
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Yep |
#4
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Hi STARRAFT. Negative for me when they're drawn wide A positive when ridden by claiming apprentice in form, or with some previous good results on the same horse |
#5
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Like all these 1 horse a race systems .
Long term they only lead one to the poorhouse. |
#6
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Best horse in the race according to the handicapper, so yes, consider. However, the top-weight in a handicap is at a disadvantage, giving away weight. You need to consider the field strength. Just how disadvantaged is the horse relative to the field strength. |
#7
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True also.
Interestingly it was Warren Block who researched this factor and he was a non Bettor. |
#8
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Yep, already do this. Thanks. |
#9
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So you really don't want additional disadvantages. For the top-weight, also consider jockey pros & cons, suitability of race distance, barrier draw & likely speed map against the top-weights normal racing style. |
#10
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Did play around with Top Weights some time back. Mainly multiple betting. Had a number of filters, but best results came when restricting to those in the first four lines of the prepost market.
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