Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Race Betting Systems
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1  
Old 5th April 2010, 12:40 AM
Dennis G Dennis G is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2006
Posts: 112
Default Dutching: To Win or to Return.....

Hi guys,
I was having a think over backing two or more horses in a race and the most profitable way to 'Dutch' them.
The best way I can explain it is with an example -

Given two horses: (A) @ 2.50 and (B) @ 5.00 with a race target of $100.00 -

To Return $100.00: (A) $40.00 @ 2.50 = Return $100.00, (B) $20.00 @ 5.00 = Return $100.00.
Result: Outlay = $60.00; (A) Win $40.00, (B) Win $40.00 or Loss $60.00.

To Win* $100.00: (A) $67.00 @ 2.50 = Return $167.50, (B) $25.00 @ 5.00 = Return $125.00.
Result: Outlay = $92.00; (A) Win $75.50, (B) Win $33.00 or Loss $92.00.

I know the result is skewed to the shorties but is that a bad thing given that shorties salute more often? I also know that different price ranges will alter the outcome but...... ???

What are your thoughts?

Den

* I know it's not actually 'Dutching' but could find no other term to fit
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 5th April 2010, 09:35 AM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,428
Default

There are 3 known Dutching techniques.

Bet to price.
(Your first example)
Price is divided into set take out amount.
The outlays & profits vary.

Bet to set profit.
The outlays vary but profit stays the same.

Bet to fixed outlay.
The outlay stays the same but profit varies.

One can Google free Dutching programs to do this for you.
Such as Ozracetools.


Another approach is , 60/40 Split.
60% on the shorter price & 40% on the longer price.
This can be good in such that not too much is put on the really short priced runners.
One tends to make more profit with this approach when the longer price gets up.
The min price to break even is $1.67

60/40 Example
Fixed 10.00 outlay.
1.66 x 6.00 = Ret 10.20 = .20 Prof.
6.50 x 4.00 = Ret 26.00 = 16.00 Prof.
__________________
Cheers.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 02:18 PM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655