Predictions
for the 2020 Six Nations Rugby Championship Final Round
From
Ben Jardine: October 2020
The
Six Nations Are Back on the Field
With
the Championship halted since March, it was refreshing to
watch the game on Saturday. As the teams ready themselves
for next weekend, here is what you need to know for the
fifth and final round.
Italy took another heavy blow against the Irish, and it
looks like they will take home the wooden spoon. Wales won
with a Grand Slam in 2019, but they are second to last this
year. Things do not seem to be going well with Wayne Pivac,
their new coach, who's also new to international championships.
With
only three games left, Ireland, England, and France will
head into Super Saturday with a chance of winning the Championship.
The Irish lead by one point, with a total of 14 against
13 for France and England. However, the situation is dire
for Ireland. The English team, going against the Italians,
have the edge over the others. Meanwhile, the Irish will
head to Paris - or rather, Saint-Denis - for their last
game.
So
Who's Taking the Trophy Home?
Back
in February, the QBE Insurance Group had its supercomputer
calculating precise odds for the outcome, simulating the
whole tournament 10,000 times. After over 150,000 simulated
games, the odds were in. England led with a 53% chance of
winning, followed by the Irish with a 22% chance.
As
with any statistical forecast, the odds aren't guaranteed,
and we can see their predictions already falling apart.
According to their calculations, Wales had the third-highest
chance of winning, and yet they're currently second to last,
fighting for fourth place.
The
Italians still have zero points on the leaderboard, and
England have a clear advantage for their last game. Can
the English team tie for first in points and score enough
against Italy to take the lead from Ireland?
The
Irish can still win, but they'll probably need a bonus point.
England are behind by one point and a points difference
of 23. If they manage to score four tries against the French,
they can guarantee the trophy, but a narrow victory might
not be enough. France have been strong this year, so this
might be too tall an order.
The
English have already won the Triple Crown this year, and
it seems like they might win the Championship as well. It'll
be tight for the Irish, but they can still manage to lift
the trophy.
A
Spooky Super Saturday
This
year, the Six Nations Championship was delayed due to the
pandemic for the first time in history.
The last round will be on the 31st of October, which is
also Halloween. So you should be ready to have children
trick-or-treating during the matches. If you wish to watch
the games undisturbed, it might be smart to leave some treats
at the door in advance. We hope the date won't bring any
bad luck to the teams!
While
people all around the world know and celebrate Halloween,
there are many other frightening festivals in different
nations. Halloween is mostly fun nowadays, but some nations
still stay true to their roots according to Betway
Casino with a interesting selection of macabre festivities
that are very much alive and kicking to this date. Some
even dig up their dead family members, and you can read
more about this below.
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